Peter Kellner

Polling around election shows Labour voters 3-to-1 pro-EU but Tory voters evenly split. Add it all up and it’s a big win for pro-Europeans.

Steady lead for staying in EU is much bigger when compared to government’s deal. Brexit is losing support - especially among Labour Leavers.

Tories face middle-class electoral crisis and loss of business confidence. If this continues, history shows years in the wilderness beckon.

Labour could win over 1.5 million new voters and gain more than 60 seats if it backs a public vote. Here’s how the numbers stack up.

New poll shows Wales now backs staying 51-49%. With pro-EU London, Brexit is becoming tussle between provincial England and rest of UK.

Latest YouGov survey from People’s Vote campaign shows 72% think it’s important to know the terms of Brexit before leaving.

The heavily Leave-voting region is now split 50/50 on staying in the EU. That’s a game changer in Labour heartlands for Corbyn and his team.

Scotland’s first minister has hesitated to back public vote over fears for indyref2. But People’s Vote precedent would benefit nationalists.

Recent YouGov surveys reveal how country feels about Brexit: if the government and Parliament can’t sort it out, the people should.

Local election results were more complex than hard Brexiters think. Pursuing hard Brexit now will cost Tories support later.

New poll shows accepting Tory Brexit would cost Labour 3m Remain voters and only gain 300,000 extra Leave voters. Corbyn’s choice is clear.

Poll for Guardian showing groundswell of support for referendum once Brexit talks are over is encouraging. But don’t go overboard yet.